Climate change may cause kidney stones 气候变化或致肾结石发病率增加

陈小将

Climate change in the coming decades could lead to an increase in cases of kidney stones that would bring huge costs to healthcare systems, according to research by scientists in the United States.
美国科学家的研究显示，未来几十年内的气候变化可能导致肾结石病例增加，这将大大加重医疗系统负担。

A study, published recently in Scientific Reports, found even if measures are put in place to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, there would still be a rise in cases of the painful condition.
近日发表在《科学报告》上的一项研究发现，即使采取措施减少温室气体排放，这样肾结石病例仍会增加。

With this latest study, scientists sought to project how climate change will impact the burden of kidney stone disease on healthcare systems in the future, The Independent reported.
据英国《独立报》报道，通过这项最新研究，科学家们试图预测未来气候变化将如何影响肾结石疾病给医疗系统造成的负担。

The scientists created a model to estimate the impact of heat on future kidney stone presentations in the southeastern US state of South Carolina, which has a higher incidence of the disease.
科学家们建立模型估算高温对未来美国东南部南卡罗来纳州肾结石疾病情况的影响。该州肾结石发病率较高。

The model predicted the number of cases will increase between 2.2 and 3.9 percent by the year 2089, depending on projected daily temperatures under two climate change scenarios.
该模型预测，到2089年，肾结石病例数量将增加2.2%至3.9%，具体取决于在两种气候变化情景下预测的每日温度。